Moore's Law to Reach Breaking Point by 2021

By Gary Cutlack on at

The people in charge of foreseeing the future of electronics think we could be about to see the end of Moore's Law's portentous argument for the constant improvements of hardware power, as the miniaturisation of transistors could soon be about to reach a point where it's no longer financially viable -- or technically possible -- to pursue the constant shrinking of processors that's made the modern world so full of fun things to look at.

According to the latest forecast from the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors [PDF], the endless reports of the death of Moore's Law we've seen over past years have all been wrong, as the people making these predictions have mistakenly seen the end of one scaling technology coming but not taken into account the new miniaturisation techniques that come in to replace them.

But! Now it's for real, as the ITRS says "...by 2020-2025 device features will be reduced to a few nanometers and and it will become practically impossible to reduce device dimensions any further."

Which could, possibly, unless someone comes up with a new scale of small things, bring an end to Moore's endless doubling of power contained within the same space. [ITRS [PDF] via Telegraph]


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