2040 – The Year We Run Out of Food

By Gary Cutlack on at

A scientific model of the future of the world has some bad news for anyone under the age of about 65, suggesting that the world and comfortable modern life as we know it could collapse by the year 2040 amid apocalyptic food wars triggered by climate change.

The prediction is based around nothing changing and our consumption habits continuing as they are, so there is some hope. Dr Aled Jones, the Director of the Global Sustainability Institute, told Insurgency Intelligence that: "We ran the model forward to the year 2040, along a business-as-usual trajectory based on ‘do-nothing’ trends  --  that is, without any feedback loops that would change the underlying trend.

"The results show that based on plausible climate trends, and a total failure to change course, the global food supply system would face catastrophic losses, and an unprecedented epidemic of food riots."

The calculations released as part of the Global Resource Observatory project, warn that when the postman stops coming and there's no reduced fat margarine left in the shops to placate the masses the planet explodes -- although this is a short-term prediction left running as a sort of experiment. If we change things now, we could, as a species, make it to 2055 before killing each other. [Independent]

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